Lubricants Market Outlook

Report Code CH 9263
Published in Dec, 2024, By MarketsandMarkets™
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Lubricants Market Outlook 2025

 

Overview

In terms of value, the lubricants market is estimated to grow from USD 173.5 billion in 2024 to USD 178.1 billion by 2025, at a CAGR of 2.7% during the forecast period.

Lubricants are solutions used to reduce friction between moving surfaces, minimizing wear and heat generation. They are extensively used in machinery, vehicles, and industrial equipment to improve efficiency, extend the life of components, and ensure smooth operation. Lubricants can also provide cooling and corrosion resistance and act as a sealant in specific applications. Key driving factors for the market growth include the rising demand for high-performance engines and the increasing use of lubricants in the marine industry. The emergence of synthetic and bio-based lubricants that provide excellent performance and environmental benefits and technological advancements in lubricant production are expected to fuel their demand and contribute to market growth.

Lubricants Market Outlook

Attractive Opportunities in the Lubricants Market Outlook

Asia Pacific

Market growth can be attributed to the growing demand for bio-based lubricants.

The market growth in Asia Pacific can be attributed to the increasing demand for lubricants in the construction, mining, and agriculture industries.

Mergers & acquisitions are expected to create lucrative opportunities for market players in the next 5 years.

Rising demand for high performance engines is driving the lubricants market globally.

Asia Pacific is expected to be the fastest-growing market for lubricants.

Global Lubricants Market Outlook Dynamics

Driver: Increased supply of Group II and Group III base oils

The rise in the supply of base oils under Group II and Group III is revolutionizing the lubricants industry by offering high-quality raw materials to manufacturers for advanced formulations. These oils feature superior oxidation stability, enhanced viscosity performance, and lower emissions. They also meet rigid regulatory standards and the emerging demand for environmentally friendly and fuel-efficient lubricants. The production volumes of Group II and III base oils have increased primarily due to the expansion of refinery capacities worldwide, particularly in Asia Pacific and the Middle East. Their increasing supply is enabling the production of greases that match the changing demand for contemporary engines, which are crucial for the automotive construction industries.

Restraints: Rising demand for electric vehicles (EVs)

The rising demand for EVs is expected to hamper the growth of the lubricants market as EVs require fewer lubricants than internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles. For functioning, EVs do not use the same amount of engine oils, transmission fluids, and other lubricants as ICE vehicles. Instead, they use coolants and greases in smaller amounts. In addition, electrification is gaining momentum due to government-led incentives, the implementation of strict emission regulations, and consumer preferences for sustainable mobility. The shift from ICE vehicles toward EVs is leading to reduced dependence on traditional lubricants and reshaping the industry. Lubricant manufacturers must explore new formulations and applications to reduce the impact of this transition as the global EV market expands.

 

Opportunities: Growth in demand for bio-based lubricants

Increasing demand for bio-based lubricants is expected to create significant growth opportunities for the lubricants market. This demand is growing with increased awareness regarding environmental sustainability and renewable solutions. Industries are seeking bio-based lubricants due to their biodegradable characteristics and lower environmental impact. These lubricants are being used in the agriculture, marine, and industrial machinery sectors as environmentally friendly options, making them an attractive zone for investment for manufacturers willing to adapt to market trends.

Challenges: Volatile raw material prices

The major challenge for the lubricants industry players is fluctuations in raw material prices. Fluctuating prices of crude oil, additives, and specialty chemicals highly influence production costs and profit margins. They can lead to supply chain disruptions and uncertainty among manufacturers and end users. Such uncertainty drives companies to develop strategic sourcing and cost-effective production strategies to maintain competitiveness within this dynamic market.

Global Lubricants Market Outlook Ecosystem Analysis

Prominent companies in this ecosystem include well-established, financially stable manufacturers of lubricants. These companies have been in business for a while and have a broad product portfolio, innovative technologies, and robust international sales and marketing networks. Prominent companies in this ecosystem include Exxon Mobil Corporation (US), Shell plc (UK), BP p.l.c. (UK), Chevron Corporation (US), PetroChina Company Limited (China), TotalEnergies SE (France), ENEOS Holdings, Inc. (Japan), and China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (China).

Top Companies in Lubricants Market Outlook
 

Based on end use, industrial segment to register highest CAGR in lubricants market during forecast period

Industrial is expected to be the fastest-growing segment in the lubricants market. The segment’s growth is expected to be driven by increased automation and technological advancements in the industrial sector. The manufacturing, energy, and construction industries require high-performance lubricants to optimize machinery efficiency, minimize maintenance costs, and increase the operational life of products. Global industrial production will continue to grow, increasing the demand for specialized lubricants. Rising manufacturing activities, especially in emerging markets, and emphasis on reducing operational downtime are also expected to increase lubricant demand in the industrial segment.

Asia Pacific to be fastest-growing regional market for lubricants during review period

The adoption of web content management products in healthcare and life sciences enterprises is driven by the urgent need to enhance patient services and effectively manage the burgeoning volumes of unstructured data. The unstructured data in healthcare includes output from medical devices, image reports, lab results, etc. Organizations face a significant challenge in effectively using these data in clinical operations, medical research, and treatment planning. With healthcare service providers producing content across many digital channels, content management inefficiencies can hinder the delivery of patient care. WCM solutions ensure high customer satisfaction coupled with control over operational costs. With these solutions, a patient’s medical records can be stored online for accurate diagnoses. However, proper content hierarchy is required to manage and edit the content, which safeguards the patient's health. Web content management products may also facilitate the targeted marketing of specialized healthcare equipment. Products such as document management also help minimize compliance risks with strict regulatory requirements, reduce costs, and enhance business agility. As the healthcare sector shifts toward digital channels and remote care solutions like telemedicine, there is a growing need to manage digital content and patient data across multiple platforms.

Lubricants Market Outlook Size and Share

Recent Developments of Lubricants Market Outlook

  • In February 2022, Chevron Corporation announced that it had signed an agreement with Bunge North America, Inc. to create renewable feedstocks.
  • In January 2021, BP p.l.c. established a digital hub in Pune, India, to grow its digital expertise and meet the changing demands by providing sustainable solutions.

Key Market Players

List of Top Lubricants Market Outlook Companies

The Lubricants Market Outlook is dominated by a few major players that have a wide regional presence. The major players in the Lubricants Market Outlook are

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Scope of the Report

Report Attribute Details
Market size available for years 2023-2025
Base year considered 2023
Forecast period 2024–2025
Forecast units Volume (Kiloton) and Value (USD Million)
Segments Covered End-use Industry, and Region
Regions covered Asia Pacific, North America, Europe, Middle East & Africa, and South America

 

Key Questions Addressed by the Report

Which are the major players in the lubricants market?
Key players in this market include Shell plc (UK), Exxon Mobil Corporation (US), BP p.l.c. (UK), Chevron Corporation (US), PetroChina Company Limited (China), TotalEnergies SE (France), ENEOS Holdings, Inc. (Japan), China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation (China), and Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd. (Japan).
What are the drivers and opportunities for the lubricants market?
The rising demand for lubricants in marine applications and the increasing global use of bio-based lubricants are the major drivers and opportunities for the market.
What strategies are key players focusing on in the lubricants market?
Product launches, expansions, and partnerships are the major strategies adopted by key companies to expand their global presence.
What is the estimated CAGR of the lubricants market?
The market is projected to register a CAGR of 2.7% in terms of value during the review period.
What is the major restraint for the lubricants market growth during the forecast period?
The increasing demand for EVs is expected to restrict the market growth.

 

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Table of Contents

Exclusive indicates content/data unique to MarketsandMarkets and not available with any competitors.

TITLE
PAGE NO
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1
  • 1.1 TOP DEVELOPMENTS IN 2024
  • 1.2 KEY PREDICTIONS FOR 2025
RESEARCH SCOPE, OBJECTIVES, & METHODOLOGY
2
  • 2.1 STUDY SCOPE
  • 2.2 STUDY OBJECTIVES, METHODOLOGY, KEY INFORMATION AREAS
GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ANALYSIS
3
GLOBAL TOP 15 TRENDS & THEIR IMPACT ON LUBRICANTS INDUSTRY
4
GLOBAL LUBRICANTS INDUSTRY IN 2024
5
  • 5.1 LUBRICANTS INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE: 2023 VS. 2024
  • 5.2 KEY DEVELOPMENTS IN 2024
  • 5.3 COMPETITIVE ANALYSIS (2023 VS. 2024)
GLOBAL LUBRICANTS INDUSTRY IN 2025
6
  • 6.1 TOP LUBRICANTS INDUSTRY TRENDS FOR 2025
  • 6.2 LUBRICANTS INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE IN 2025
KEY GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES & RECOMMENDATIONS
7
CONCLUSION AND KEY TAKEAWAYS
8
ABOUT MARKETSANDMARKETS
9
LEGAL DISCLAIMER
10

The study involved four major activities in estimating the market size for lubricants market. Exhaustive secondary research was done to collect information on the market, the peer market, and the parent market. The next step was to validate these findings, assumptions, and sizing with industry experts across the value chain through primary research. Both top-down and bottom-up approaches were employed to estimate the complete market size. After that, the market breakdown and data triangulation procedures were used to estimate the market size of the segments and subsegments.

Secondary Research

Secondary sources used in this study included annual reports, press releases, and investor presentations of companies; white papers; certified publications; articles from recognized authors; and gold standard & silver standard websites such as Factiva, ICIS, Bloomberg, and others. The findings of this study were verified through primary research by conducting extensive interviews with key officials such as CEOs, VPs, directors, and other executives. The breakdown of profiles of the primary interviewees is illustrated in the figure below:

Primary Research

The lubricants market comprises several stakeholders, such as raw material suppliers, end-product manufacturers, and regulatory organizations in the supply chain. The demand side of this market is characterized by engine oil, turbine oil, gear oil, grease, hydraulic oil, compressor oil, metalworking fluid, and others. The supply side is characterized by advancements in technology and diverse application industries. Various primary sources from both the supply and demand sides of the market were interviewed to obtain qualitative and quantitative information.

Lubricants Market Outlook Size, and Share

Note: Tier 1, Tier 2, and Tier 3 companies are classified based on their market revenue in 2022/ 2023, available in the public domain,
product portfolios, and geographical presence.
Other designations include consultants and sales, marketing, and procurement managers.

To know about the assumptions considered for the study, download the pdf brochure

COMPANY NAME

DESIGNATION

Exxon Mobil Corporation

Senior Manager

Shell plc

Innovation Manager

Indian Oil Corporation Limited

Vice-President

BP p.l.c.

Production Supervisor

Chevron Corporation

Sales Manager

Market Size Estimation

Both top-down and bottom-up approaches were used to estimate and validate the total size of the lubricants market. These methods were also used extensively to estimate the size of various subsegments in the market. The research methodology used to estimate the market size includes the following:

  • The key players in the industry have been identified through extensive secondary research.
  • The supply chain of the industry has been determined through primary and secondary research.
  • All percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns have been determined using secondary sources and verified through primary sources.
  • All possible parameters that affect the markets covered in this research study have been accounted for, viewed in extensive detail, verified through primary research, and analyzed to obtain the final quantitative and qualitative data.

Lubricants Market Outlook : Top-Down and Bottom-Up Approach

Lubricants Market Outlook Top Down and Bottom Up Approach

Data Triangulation

After arriving at the overall market size—using the market size estimation processes as explained above—the market was split into several segments and subsegments. To complete the overall market engineering process and arrive at the exact statistics of each market segment and subsegment, data triangulation, and market breakdown procedures were employed, wherever applicable. The data was triangulated by studying various factors and trends from both the demand and supply sides in the lubricants industry.

Market Definition

The lubricants market encompasses a range of substances engineered to diminish friction between surfaces, thereby reducing heat generation and facilitating the transmission of forces during movement. These substances also serve to transport foreign particles and regulate surface temperatures. Employed across diverse applications, from industrial machinery and cooking to bioapplications such as artificial joints, medical procedures, and even intimate relations, lubricants play a pivotal role in mitigating friction, wear, heat generation, noise, and vibrations within mechanical systems.

Stakeholders

  • Lubricants manufacturers
  • Lubricants suppliers
  • Raw material suppliers
  • Service providers
  • Application sector companies
  • Government bodies

Report Objectives

  • To define, describe, and forecast the Lubricants market in terms of value and volume
  • To identify the trends that are likely to impact the market in 2025.
  • To estimate and forecast the market size by end-use industry,  and region.
  • To forecast the size of the market for five main regions: Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, South America, and the Middle East & Africa.
  • To strategically analyze micromarkets1 with respect to their growth trends, prospects, and contribution to the overall market
  • To track and analyze competitive developments such as deals (joint ventures, mergers & acquisitions, partnerships, collaborations), product developments, and other activities carried out by key industry participants.

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Growth opportunities and latent adjacency in Lubricants Market

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